ALDERIA INTELLIGENCE
← All signals
PubMed16 Apr 2026·BMJ open● 6/10i

Dapagliflozin for cardiorenal protection after intensive care unit discharge: a protocol for a randomised controlled trial evaluating dapagliflozin at ICU discharge for cardiorenal protection (DAPA-ICU).

Dépret F, Chousterman B, Roger C, Garnier M, Lalande R et al.

DAPA-ICU will test dapagliflozin versus placebo for one year in 600 adults at high cardiorenal risk following ICU discharge, targeting a composite of death, heart failure hospitalization, and renal decline. Multicentre, double-blind RCT across 16 French ICUs enrolling mechanically ventilated patients with elevated cardiac or renal biomarkers. This represents the first trial extending SGLT2 inhibitor cardiorenal protection to critically ill survivors, a population with 22% one-year mortality. Single-country study limits global generalizability.

Strategic signal

DAPA-ICU could establish the first indication for SGLT2 inhibitors in post-critical care, potentially expanding dapagliflozin's addressable market beyond diabetes, heart failure, and chronic kidney disease. Success would provide AstraZeneca competitive differentiation in cardiorenal protection and create a new treatment paradigm for the estimated 5.7 million annual ICU survivors globally. The trial design targeting high-risk patients with elevated biomarkers mirrors successful SGLT2 strategies in heart failure and CKD, suggesting regulatory precedent exists for broad cardiorenal indications.

SGLT2CardiovascularKidneyAstraZeneca

Original Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Patients discharged from intensive care units (ICUs) are at high risk of adverse long-term outcomes including cardiovascular and/or renal events and a 1-year mortality of approximately 22%. Plasma biomarkers measured at ICU discharge have demonstrated strong prognostic value, with elevated cardiac or renal biomarkers identifying patients at particularly high risk of poor outcomes. Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors are now widely recognised for their cardioprotective and nephroprotective effects in chronic conditions such as type 2 diabetes, heart failure or chronic kidney disease. These agents improve both morbidity and mortality across a range of high-risk populations. We hypothesise that a therapeutic strategy aimed at preventing the progression of cardiovascular and/or renal injury following ICU discharge may improve long-term outcomes in ICU survivors. METHOD AND ANALYSIS: This is a multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled clinical trial conducted across 16 teaching and non-teaching ICUs in France. We will enrol 600 adult patients (18 years of age or older) who have received mechanical ventilation and/or vasopressors for at least 24 hours during their ICU stay, and who meet at least one of the following criteria at ICU discharge: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) >800 pg/mL or BNP >90 ng/L, an estimated glomerular filtration rate between 25 and 90 mL/min/m². Eligible patients will be randomised in a 1:1 ratio to receive either dapagliflozin (10 mg once daily) or a matching placebo for a duration of 1 year. The primary outcome is a composite endpoint assessed at 1 year after randomisation, comprising: all-cause mortality, unscheduled hospitalisation for acute heart failure and decrease in renal function. Feasibility will be assessed based on patient and clinical acceptability and recruitment performance, including enrolment rates across participating centres. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study has been approved by the Institutional Review Board (CPP Ile-de-France 5). Written informed consent will be obtained from all participants prior to enrolment and the initiation of any study-related procedures. Dapagliflozin is a widely available medication with an established safety profile. If proven effective, it would represent a readily deployable strategy to improve long-term outcomes in ICU survivors. The study is described in accordance with the Standard Protocol Items: Recommendations for Interventional Trials framework, and key design features and methodological decisions are outlined accordingly. DAPA-ICU aims to evaluate the efficacy of dapagliflozin in cardiorenal protection among critically ill patients following ICU discharge. The main trial results will be submitted for publication in a peer-reviewed journal as soon as they become available after final analysis. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT07025629.

Related signals

ClinicalTrials17 Apr 2026·Phase 3● 8/10iHigh impact

A Phase 3, Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled, Event-Driven Study to Investigate the Effect of Orforglipron on the Incidence of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Participants With Established Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease and/or Chronic Kidney Disease

Phase 3 cardiovascular outcomes trial testing orforglipron versus placebo in people with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and/or chronic kidney disease. Event-driven study enrolling 7,140 participants with expected completion in August 2031, approximately 5 years duration. This positions Eli Lilly to compete directly with Novo Nordisk's cardiovascular claims for semaglutide by establishing orforglipron as the first small-molecule oral GLP-1 with proven cardiovascular benefits. The trial targets a high-risk population already established for GLP-1 cardiovascular benefit validation.

GLP-1CardiovascularEli Lilly
ClinicalTrials17 Apr 2026·Phase 3● 8/10iHigh impact

A Phase 3, Open-Label Study of Once Daily LY3502970 Compared With Insulin Glargine in Adult Participants With Type 2 Diabetes and Obesity or Overweight at Increased Cardiovascular Risk

Phase 3 open-label trial compared once-daily oral orforglipron versus insulin glargine in people with type 2 diabetes and obesity or overweight at increased cardiovascular risk. The study enrolled 2,749 participants with primary endpoint of time to first major adverse cardiovascular event, completed in March 2026. Eli Lilly is positioning orforglipron as a cardiovascular outcomes option in high-risk populations, directly competing with established insulin therapy in this indication. This represents the first cardiovascular outcomes trial for orforglipron following its April 2026 FDA approval for type 2 diabetes.

GLP-1Type 2 diabetesWeight lossCardiovascularEli Lilly
PubMed28 Mar 2026·JAMA cardiology● 8/10iHigh impact

Cardiorenal Outcomes With Tirzepatide Compared With Dulaglutide in Patients With Diabetes and Cardiovascular Disease: A Post Hoc Analysis of the SURPASS-CVOT Randomized Clinical Trial.

Tirzepatide reduced a 6-component cardiorenal composite endpoint by 16% versus dulaglutide (23.7% vs 27.4%, HR 0.84) in people with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. Post hoc analysis of SURPASS-CVOT double-blind RCT, 13,165 patients, median 46.9 months follow-up. This provides the first head-to-head cardiorenal comparison between tirzepatide and a GLP-1 agonist in high-risk cardiovascular patients, extending beyond the primary non-inferiority finding. Gastrointestinal adverse events were higher with tirzepatide (42.5% vs 35.9%).

GLP-1CardiovascularKidneyType 2 diabetesDrug comparisonsEli LillyNovo Nordisk
ClinicalTrials12 Mar 2026·Phase 3● 8/10iHigh impact

The Cardiovascular Safety and Efficacy of Cagrilintide 2.4 mg s.c. in Combination With Semaglutide 2.4 mg s.c. (CagriSema 2.4 mg/2.4 mg s.c.) Once-weekly in Participants With Established Cardiovascular Disease

Phase 3 cardiovascular outcomes trial evaluating CagriSema (cagrilintide + semaglutide 2.4 mg/2.4 mg) versus placebo in people with established cardiovascular disease. 7,101 participants enrolled with up to 4.5 years follow-up, measuring time to first 3-point MACE (cardiovascular death, non-fatal MI, non-fatal stroke). Novo Nordisk is testing whether their dual amylin/GLP-1 combination can deliver cardiovascular benefits beyond current GLP-1 monotherapy in high-risk populations. This represents the first major cardiovascular outcomes trial for a dual incretin/amylin combination therapy.

GLP-1CardiovascularWeight lossNovo Nordisk

Weekly briefing

Key signals, decoded for pharma executives and investors. Free, every week.