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PubMed13 Apr 2026Diabetes, obesity & metabolism● 6/10i

Association of SGLT2 Inhibitor With Stroke in Type 2 Diabetes With Diabetic Retinopathy: A Multicenter Electronic Health Record Data Study.

Chen KE, Wang PC, Lin HA, Lin SF

SGLT2 inhibitors reduced hemorrhagic stroke risk by 27% at 5 years (HR 0.73) and ischemic stroke risk by 8% (HR 0.92) in adults with type 2 diabetes and diabetic retinopathy versus DPP-4 inhibitors/metformin. Retrospective cohort study using TriNetX database, 27,556 patients after propensity matching, up to 5 years follow-up. This provides the first stroke prevention data specifically in people with diabetic retinopathy, a high-risk population for cerebrovascular events. The findings come from observational electronic health records rather than randomized controlled trials.

Strategic Signal

This real-world evidence strengthens SGLT2 inhibitor positioning for comprehensive diabetes care beyond glucose control, particularly in high-risk populations. US endocrinologists and neurologists treating diabetic retinopathy patients may increasingly view SGLT2 inhibitors as preferred second-line therapy over DPP-4 inhibitors. The hemorrhagic stroke reduction (NNT 100) provides a differentiated safety narrative versus other antidiabetic classes in a population where bleeding risk is often a clinical concern.

SGLT2Type 2 diabetesCardiovascularReal-world evidence

Original Abstract

AIMS: Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is linked to elevated risks of cerebrovascular diseases. Whether sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) reduce stroke risk in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and DR remains uncertain. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the TriNetX Research Network. Adults with T2D and DR initiating SGLT2i versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors/metformin were identified. After 1:1 propensity score matching, ischemic stroke (IS) and hemorrhagic stroke (HS) risks at 1, 3 and 5 years were assessed using Cox models, with hazard ratios (HRs) and number needed to treat (NNT) estimated. RESULTS: After matching, 13 778 per group were included. SGLT2i use was associated with reduced HS risk at 1 year (HR: 0.76; 95% CI, 0.56-0.93), 3 years (HR: 0.79; 95% CI, 0.59-0.90), and 5 years (HR: 0.73; 95% CI, 0.60-0.89; NNT 100). IS risk reduction emerged at 5 years (HR: 0.92; 95% CI, 0.85-0.99; NNT 34). For patients with early-stage DR and HbA1c > 7%, HS risk decreased at 1 year (HR: 0.57; 95% CI, 0.37-0.89), 3 years (HR: 0.61; 95% CI, 0.41-0.83), and 5 years (HR: 0.64; 95% CI, 0.44-0.84). Sensitivity analyses showed consistent 5-year reductions in HS risk among patients with neuropathy, nephropathy and chronic kidney disease, with NNTs of 91, 59 and 84, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: SGLT2i was associated with lower stroke risk, particularly HS, in patients with T2D and DR. These findings suggest a potential cerebrovascular benefit, although prospective studies are needed to confirm this association.

Related signals

Strategic Signal

FDA1 Apr 2026New Drug Approval (NDA/BLA)High impact● 10/10i

FDA Approves Foundayo (Orforglipron) — New Drug Approval (NDA/BLA)

FDA approved orforglipron (Foundayo, Eli Lilly) for type 2 diabetes -- a once-daily oral small-molecule GLP-1 receptor agonist. Orforglipron is the first non-peptide oral GLP-1 approved in the US; oral semaglutide (Rybelsus, Novo Nordisk) has been approved for T2D since 2019 and expanded to obesity in January 2026. Unlike Rybelsus, orforglipron requires no fasting or water volume restrictions before dosing.

GLP-1Type 2 diabetesPricing/accessEli LillyNovo Nordisk

Strategic Signal

Clinical Trial17 Apr 2026Phase 3High impact● 8/10i

A Phase 3, Open-Label Study of Once Daily LY3502970 Compared With Insulin Glargine in Adult Participants With Type 2 Diabetes and Obesity or Overweight at Increased Cardiovascular Risk

Phase 3 open-label trial compared once-daily oral orforglipron versus insulin glargine in people with type 2 diabetes and obesity or overweight at increased cardiovascular risk. The study enrolled 2,749 participants with primary endpoint of time to first major adverse cardiovascular event, completed in March 2026. Eli Lilly is positioning orforglipron as a cardiovascular outcomes option in high-risk populations, directly competing with established insulin therapy in this indication. This represents the first cardiovascular outcomes trial for orforglipron following its April 2026 FDA approval for type 2 diabetes.

GLP-1Type 2 diabetesWeight lossCardiovascularEli Lilly

Strategic Signal

FDA1 Apr 2026FDA Press ReleaseHigh impact● 8/10i

FDA Approves First New Molecular Entity Under National Priority Voucher Program

FDA approved Foundayo (orforglipron) on April 1, 2026, marking the fifth approval under the Commissioner's National Priority Voucher pilot program. This represents approval of the first small-molecule oral GLP-1 receptor agonist, distinct from the peptide-based oral semaglutide (Rybelsus) approved by FDA in 2019. Eli Lilly gains competitive positioning in the oral GLP-1 space with a differentiated mechanism that requires no fasting restrictions. The approval leverages FDA's expedited voucher pathway designed to incentivize development of treatments addressing unmet medical needs.

GLP-1Type 2 diabetesEli Lilly

Strategic Signal

PubMed28 Mar 2026JAMA cardiologyHigh impact● 8/10i

Cardiorenal Outcomes With Tirzepatide Compared With Dulaglutide in Patients With Diabetes and Cardiovascular Disease: A Post Hoc Analysis of the SURPASS-CVOT Randomized Clinical Trial.

Tirzepatide reduced a 6-component cardiorenal composite endpoint by 16% versus dulaglutide (23.7% vs 27.4%, HR 0.84) in people with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. Post hoc analysis of SURPASS-CVOT double-blind RCT, 13,165 patients, median 46.9 months follow-up. This provides the first head-to-head cardiorenal comparison between tirzepatide and a GLP-1 agonist in high-risk cardiovascular patients, extending beyond the primary non-inferiority finding. Gastrointestinal adverse events were higher with tirzepatide (42.5% vs 35.9%).

GLP-1CardiovascularKidneyType 2 diabetesDrug comparisonsEli LillyNovo Nordisk

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